Expert foresee potential APC defeat by opposition coalition in 2027

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Recent discussions between Atiku Abubakar, the 2023 presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and Peter Obi, the Labour Party (LP) candidate, have sparked speculation about a potential political merger.

Atiku has expressed his openness to forming a coalition, stating, “We can merge to achieve a common goal.”

After his meeting with Peter Obi, Atiku reportedly mentioned his willingness to step down for Obi if necessary. Obi has also met with former Senate President Bukola Saraki and former Jigawa State Governor Sule Lamido to discuss the state of the nation.

Tanko Yunusa, the Labour Party’s presidential campaign spokesman, confirmed that Obi’s meetings focused on national issues. Public affairs analyst Julius Adegunna expressed skepticism, citing the self-interest of many Nigerian politicians and the challenge of opposing President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, known for his strategic prowess.

Political commentator Bishop Herbert Ekechukwu reviewed Nigeria’s history of political coalitions, noting that successful mergers require selflessness and strategic planning. The most notable success was the 2013 merger that formed the APC, which led to the defeat of the PDP in 2015.

Dr. Kalu Ofon Emmanuel, a human rights advocate, believes the opposition could succeed if they learn from past mistakes and unite behind a credible candidate. Ambassador Emmanuel from the International Human Rights Protection Service emphasized the importance of a strong, non-tribal, and non-religious candidate to challenge the incumbent.

Political expert Dr. Rexkennedy Saltlove highlighted the need for genuine commitment among opposition leaders. He recalled how the APC’s strategic formation and alignment in 2013 led to its success. For the opposition to replicate this, leaders must put aside selfish interests and focus on a unified goal.

Speaking on a radio program, Atiku assured support for a South-East candidate, potentially Peter Obi, if the party decides. He emphasized the necessity of a merger for achieving a common goal and expressed confidence that internal party decisions would not hinder coalition efforts.

Atiku remains committed to active politics, driven by the desire to improve Nigeria. His recent interactions with Obi suggest a possible alliance for the 2027 elections, with a focus on addressing the nation’s challenges and presenting a viable alternative to the APC.

Peter Obi, who left the PDP for the Labour Party in 2022, finished third in the 2023 presidential election. Analysts believe a combined effort by Atiku and Obi could have defeated Tinubu, whose victory was secured with 8,794,726 votes.

The potential coalition of opposition parties is seen as a crucial step toward challenging the APC in the upcoming elections, with hopes of forming a unified front to address Nigeria’s pressing issues.

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